2024-06-12
1 小时 33 分钟How can past crises teach us how to deal with challenges in today's world? Our guest NEIL HOWE is a renowned historian and generational theorist, known for co-authoring the seminal books "Generations: The History of America's Future, 1584 to 2069" and "The Fourth Turning: An American Prophecy." In this timely one-on-one conversation with SCOTT HARRIS -- a seasoned facilitator and trainer for Tony Robbins -- Neil discusses his latest book, "The Fourth Turning Is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell Us About How and When This Crisis Will End." Drawing on his expertise in history and cycles, Neil reveals how different generations experience and shape our world. Howe also helps us better understand the multiple crises that we're facing today, and how upcoming challenges will affect each generation differently. How can understanding generational cycles in "The Fourth Turning" help us prepare for today's societal and economic challenges? Neil offers insights on how individuals, communities, and families can effectively prepare for the future. This discussion is particularly crucial, as we approach a critical juncture expected by the early 2030s. Join us for this insightful conversation and learn how to stay multiple steps ahead in business and life! To watch this episode, click here. SHOW NOTES: [00:18] Scott’s Intro [02:42] The life cycles of society [05:01] What precedes a Fourth Turning [08:03] Win or fall apart as a country [10:22] How we broke out of the last Fourth Turning [13:44] Fourth Turning characteristics [15:05] The decline of Western Civilization [17:58] Golden Age after crisis [18:30] War included [21:30] Change to move forward [23:52] The cycles of social behavior [25:44] How younger generations can fix the world [28:20] Lost Generation vs. Millennials [31:00] Millennials and the rising economic inequality [33:52] Millennials post Fourth Turning [38:24] Prepping for what’s ahead economically [41:02] The importance of community virtues [46:30] Neil’s advice for secure geographical investments and promising industries [56:15] Why living standards haven’t improved [57:07] Awakenings vs. crisis [01:01:37] Question from David: How will the next year or two play out in this cycle? [01:07:09] Question from Michelle: What changes or shifts have you observed between your initial book and most recent one? [01:10:29] Michelle’s second question: What role does immigration play on awakenings? [01:15:57] Casey inquiries about the origin of the word saeculum and its relevance to shorter lifespans in centuries past. [01:18:30] Casey's second question: With advancements in biosciences and longevity technologies leading to longer lifespans, will a saeculum consistently represent four generations, or will a fifth generation emerge? [01:21:38] Casey's third question involves examining historical data and inquiring if regression analysis has been utilized to predict election outcomes. [01:23:36] Jeffrey's question concerns relocating to safeguard one's family from impending turmoil on the planet. [01:31:50] Scott signs off