Why Your Projects Are Always Late — and What to Do About It (Ep. 323 Replay)

为什么你的项目总是迟到-以及该怎么办(Ep. 323重播)

Freakonomics Radio

社会与文化

2023-04-27

42 分钟
PDF

单集简介 ...

Whether it’s a giant infrastructure plan or a humble kitchen renovation, it’ll inevitably take way too long and cost way too much. That’s because you suffer from “the planning fallacy.” (You also have an “optimism bias” and a bad case of overconfidence.) But don’t worry: we’ve got the solution.

单集文稿 ...

  • Hey there, it's Stephen Dubner.

  • This week, we wanted to revisit one of our favorite episodes about a problem that never seems to go away.

  • The episode is called why your projects are always late and what to do about it.

  • We have updated facts and figures where necessary.

  • Let us know if you find this episode at all helpful.

  • We are@radioreakonomics.com dot as always, thanks for listening.

  • In 1968, more than 50 years ago, the governor of New York state, Nelson Rockefeller, received a proposal that he had commissioned.

  • It addressed the mass transit needs of the New York City area.

  • One centerpiece of the plan was a new subway line that would run from lower Manhattan up the east side and into the Bronx.

  • It was called the Second Avenue Subway.

  • Four years later, Rockefeller and New York City Mayor John Lindsay held a groundbreaking ceremony for the Second Avenue subway.

  • But not long afterward, the project was shelved because of a fiscal crisis.

  • Years later, a new governor, Mario Cuomo, tried to restart it.

  • But once again, the budget would not allow.

  • And back it went on the shelf.

  • By now, the Second Avenue subway had become a punchline.

  • A New Yorker would promise to pay back a loan.

  • Once the Second Avenue subway was built, it came to be known as the most famous thing that's never been built in New York City.

  • But then, along came a man named.

  • Michael here, I'm gonna let him say it, Michael Horodniciano.