494. Why Do Most Ideas Fail to Scale?

494.为什么大多数想法都无法扩展?

Freakonomics Radio

社会与文化

2022-02-24

48 分钟
PDF

单集简介 ...

In a new book called "The Voltage Effect," the economist John List — who has already revolutionized how his profession does research — is trying to start a scaling revolution. In this installment of the Freakonomics Radio Book Club, List teaches us how to avoid false positives, how to know whether a given success is due to the chef or the ingredients, and how to practice “optimal quitting.”

单集文稿 ...

  • If you are an American of a certain age, you may remember when Kmart, the discount department store chain, was everywhere.

  • Kmart is more than any store you have known before.

  • Kmart means you get quality.

  • At one point, K Mart had more than 2300 locations in the US.

  • It was a famous birthday with one very famous in store promotion.

  • Sure, sure.

  • The blue light special.

  • Yeah, the old blue light special just about cost me my marriage.

  • John List is an economist at the University of Chicago.

  • His blue light special story goes back to when he was a graduate student at the University of Wyoming.

  • I'm sitting in our house, and it's like mid october and ten degrees and snowing.

  • You can imagine a cattle town.

  • You know, there goes some hay going down the road, and my wife is in a long rant about how much she hates Laramie, Wyoming.

  • And then she looks out our front window and down the street, there's a Kmart which is having a blue light special, and says, I can't even get away from the bleeping blue light special at K Mart.

  • It's friendly and warm, and service does not take long.

  • That's how big a deal the blue light special was.

  • It had been invented by an assistant store manager at a Kmart in Indiana.

  • The blue light special is what Sam Walton, the famous entrepreneur who started Walmart, said is like the greatest innovation in the world.

  • At least in retail, maybe, right?

  • At least in retail.