606. How to Predict the Presidency

606. 如何预测总统任期

Freakonomics Radio

社会与文化

2024-10-11

55 分钟
PDF

单集简介 ...

Are betting markets more accurate than polls? What kind of chaos would a second Trump term bring? And is U.S. democracy really in danger, or just “sputtering on”? (Part two of a two-part series.)

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  • Apple Card and savings by Goldman Sachs Bank USA Salt Lake City branch member, FDIC terms and more@applecard.com dot in our previous episode, we had a wide ranging conversation about presidential history and presidential power with the University of Chicago legal scholar Eric Posner.

  • The founders could not possibly have imagined that the president would become as powerful as he has.

  • And we wondered, is the us presidency turning into something like a dictatorship?

  • Yes, I think that is happening, although, you know, dictatorship is such a freighted term.

  • But that conversation with Posner was recorded in 2016, a couple months before Donald Trump was elected president.

  • Trump is, of course, now running again against Vice President Kamala Harris.

  • So today on Freakonomics radio, we go back to Eric Posner to talk about what's happened over the past eight years and what the future may bring.

  • I think it's actually pretty hard to be a dictator.