Unspun World: What will Iran's strategy be?

Unspun World:伊朗的战略是什么?

The Explanation

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2024-10-04

26 分钟

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John Simpson, in discussion with the BBC's unparalleled range of experts across the world, analyses what Iran’s strategy will be in the wake of Israel’s assault on Hezbollah, looks at how the attack is being seen inside Israel and examines the disappearance of one of China’s leading economists.

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  • Is Unexpected Elements from the BBC World Service Search for unexpected elements wherever you get your BBC podcasts.

  • Hello, this is the explanation from the BBC World Service.

  • I'm John Simpson and you're listening to Unspun World, where we go behind the headlines with the BBC's unmatched correspondence to find out what's really going on in this edition.

  • How Netanyahu is gambling that Iran doesn't want an all out war as Israel attacks Hezbollah in Lebanon.

  • But what is Iran's strategy?

  • There will be those who will be saying in Iran we can't just stand by and watch our entire axis of.

  • Resistance crumble within Israel itself.

  • Is Benjamin Netanyahu's position improving as a result of the attacks on Hezbollah?

  • People who are quite critical of Netanyahu, the way that he's conducted the war in Gaza have been in favor of some kind of escalation with Hezbollah.

  • And what on earth has happened to one of China's most senior economists after he criticized Xi Jinping?

  • We think he disappeared sometime earlier this year.

  • That gives you an indication of just how cautious people have to be in order to not run foul of the leadership in China.

  • Iran launched two big waves of missiles at Israel on Tuesday.

  • But in case you might think World War three was breaking out, it was all carefully choreographed.

  • Iran signalled what it was going to do, the Americans knew about it beforehand and Israel was expecting it.

  • That's the way these things are done.

  • The basic facts are unchanged.

  • Israel remains dominant in the immediate region and Iran's hope of turning its two associate groups, Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon, into checks on Israel hasn't succeeded.