2025-01-03
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Welcome to the world in 10 in an increasingly uncertain world.
This is the Times daily podcast dedicated to global security Today with me, Alex Dibble and Toby Gillis.
As 2025 began, a deal for Russian gas to be pumped through Ukraine to the rest of Europe ended and the flow was stopped immediately.
President Volodymyr Zelensky has called it one of Moscow's biggest defeats.
But the move brings potential political ramifications for Ukraine, given some of its neighbors face inevitable price hikes.
Despite most of Europe weaning itself off Russian gas since the start of the invasion, some countries still rely on it.
Joining us now is the Times correspondent Oliver Moody, who has a particular focus on Eastern Europe and is covering this story.
Oh, Oliver, in your latest piece, you talk about the damage to Putin's allies, Slovakia and Hungary, and to Moldova, whose recently re elected president is west leaning.
What does this mean for each?
What we're really talking about here is 15 billion cubic meters of natural gas.
There may be listeners for whom that number is a bit meaningless.
So to put it into context, the European Union as a whole consumes about 350 billion cubic meters of gas a year.
So these flows in over Ukraine were equivalent to about 4% of their annual consumption.
So in the grand scheme of things, it's not that big a deal.
It has been a very big deal, however, for some of the countries in Central Europe kind of immediate recipients of that gas, the really obvious ones are Hungary, Austria and Slovakia.
In particular, Hungary has made arrangements to get the bulk of its Russian gas shipped through other routes, so it's not going to suffer too badly.
Austria, again, can get gas rerouted quite straightforwardly.
It's probably most problematic for Slovakia, which really was very heavily reliant on that pipeline route through Ukraine and actually threatened to cut off its electricity exports to Ukraine in revenge.
And then you have Moldova, which is a bit of a special case.