Why Trump Is Doing Better Than Polls Suggest

为什么特朗普的表现比民意调查显示的要好

The Opinions

新闻

2024-10-22

6 分钟
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Many undecided voters aren’t undecided; they’re just uncomfortable, Patrick Healy, the deputy Opinion editor, argues. In this episode of “The Opinions,” he says that “uncomfortable Trump voters” — people who don’t want to admit that they’re going to vote for Donald Trump — could end up costing Kamala Harris the election.
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  • Hi, I'm Josh Haner, and I'm a staff photographer at the New York Times covering climate change.

  • For years, we've sort of imagined this picture of a polar bear floating on a piece of ice.

  • Those have been the images associated with climate change.

  • My challenge is to find stories that show you how climate change is affecting our world right now.

  • If you want to support the kind of journalism that we're working on here on the climate and environment desk at the New York Times, please subscribe on our website or our app.

  • This is the Opinions, a show that brings you a mix of voices from New York Times Opinion.

  • You've heard the news.

  • Here's what to make of it.

  • I'm Patrick Healy, deputy editor of New York Times Opinion.

  • I've covered American politics for decades as a reporter, an editor, and running our focus groups for Times Opinion.

  • With election night just about two weeks away, I'm looking at what matters most in this final crucial stretch for the race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.

  • So I have this theory about undecided voters, and it's this.

  • They're not that undecided.

  • Instead, they're mostly people who will vote for Donald Trump, but they just don't want to admit it to pollsters or even to themselves.

  • Yet in 2016, we saw a phenomenon that we called quiet Trump voters, voters who didn't want to tell pollsters that they were going to vote for Trump in 2024.

  • I think the phenomenon that we have are uncomfortable Trump voters.

  • They're people who are going to vote for Trump, but they're just so uncomfortable with him with his record with January 6th, that they're not talking about their for him at least.

  • Yet this is not a complicated choice between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.

  • The voters who would be with Kamala Harris, I think, are already with her.

  • When I look at undecided voters, I see them being driven by the economy and fear and how they're feeling right toward the end of the election.