Ukraine's 'frozen war' dilemma

乌克兰的“冷战”困境

World in 10

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2025-02-10

10 分钟
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单集简介 ...

At the start of a potentially monumental week for the war in Ukraine, during which top level, international diplomats gather for the Munich Security Conference, we look at the concept that any ceasefire might leave the situation "frozen". The Times' World Affairs Editor, Catherine Philp, explains how history shows that rarely ends well. The World in 10 is the Times' daily podcast dedicated to global security. Expert analysis of war, diplomatic relations and cyber security from The Times' foreign correspondents and military specialists.  Watch more Read more Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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单集文稿 ...

  • Welcome to the world in 10 in an increasingly uncertain world.

  • This is the Times daily podcast dedicated to global security.

  • I'm Toby Gillis, joined today by Laura Cook.

  • It could be a significant week for the Ukraine war as well as the continued developments on the battlefield.

  • The 61st annual Munich Security Conference is taking place beginning on Friday,

  • with Donald Trump planning to end the war quickly.

  • It could be a key moment for top level diploma diplomatic talks to shape how that might happen.

  • But if the war ends through negotiations between Russia and Ukraine and neither side comes away happy,

  • history may be warning us that the results could be merely temporary.

  • The Times's world affairs editor,

  • Catherine Philp has written in depth about how this could be the latest in a long line of so called frozen conflicts.

  • Catherine is our guest today.

  • Catherine, let's start with a simple one.

  • What exactly is a frozen conflict?

  • Well, in essence, a frozen conflict is, it's usually when there has been a hot phase of a war,

  • so active combat and that that ceases for one reason or another.

  • It could be through sheer exhaustion of the parties involved.

  • It could be because an armistice has been signed, as was the case in the Korean War,

  • but then it has not ended up traveling towards a full blown settlement of that conflict.

  • So north and South Kore assigned an armistice that froze the conflict along the front line,