New Tariffs, New Patterns of Trade

新关税,新贸易模式

Thoughts on the Market

商务

2025-03-28

9 分钟
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Our global economists Seth Carpenter and Rajeev Sibal discuss how global trade will need to realign in response to escalating U.S. tariff policy.
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  • Welcome to Thoughts on the Market.

  • I'm Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley's Global Chief Economist.

  • And I'm Brigid Stibble, Senior Global Economist.

  • Tariffs have been a dominant topic lately in the news, in markets, just about everywhere.

  • And today we're going to discuss how they are affecting global trade and the global economy.

  • It's Thursday, March 27th, at 10 a.m. in New York.

  • And 2 p.m. in London.

  • Our listeners are well aware that tariffs have been driving much of the economic conversation lately.

  • So far, we have seen a flurry of news on tariffs, but it is probably worth recapping just where we are.

  • Tariffs were imposed on Chinese imports in the first Trump administration,

  • and they stayed in place through the Biden administration.

  • And now, so far in the new Trump administration, an additional 20% tariffs have been put on Chinese imports.

  • Tariffs were announced on imports from Colombia, but removed before implementation.

  • Tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada were announced and then delayed and then enacted and then suspended,

  • all pending negotiation among the government.

  • Don't forget about tariffs on steel and aluminum.

  • Oh, that's a really good point.

  • So a lot has already happened.

  • The administration has also announced that next week, on April 2nd,

  • there will be a whole slate of reciprocal tariffs imposed.